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Roberto Buizza

PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE

1991 – to date: European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading (U.K.)

  • 2016-to date: Lead Scientist, Research Department; the role involves strategic planning and annual implementation of ECMWF Strategy, responsibility for R2O (Research to Operation) and for ECMWF partnership activities; expertise and assistance for the research and development of ECMWF’s mission-critical forecasting system and the diagnostic and evaluation of its overall performance; strategic planning of future research and developments leading to improvements of ECMWF products and services.
  • 2011-2016: Head of Predictability Division, Research Department; responsible for the development of the ECMWF coupled (ocean, land, atmosphere) medium-range/monthly ensemble (ENS) and the long-range seasonal ensemble (system 4, S4), and of marine data assimilation and modelling; member of the Senior Management Team.
  • 2009-2010: Head of Predictability and Diagnostic Section; responsible for the development of the medium-range/monthly ensemble and diagnostics work; involved in ISO-9001-2008 Awareness and Internal Quality Auditing.
  • 2005-2009: Ensemble Group Leader; development of a variable resolution approach to probabilistic prediction, research in ensemble data assimilation, investigation of the value of targeted observations, assessment of the value of probabilistic weather forecasts, especially in hydrology; involved in the establishment of the Equal Opportunity Policy; co-chair (2004-2007) of the international Hydrological Ensemble Prediction EXperiment (HEPEX) project; Leader of ECMWF research activity into multi-system ensemble within the TIGGE/THORPEX project.
  • 2000-2005: Principal Scientist; development and application of probabilistic weather forecasts in the energy sector, weather-risk management, severe weather prediction, diagnostic;
  • 1995-2000: Senior Scientist; development of a stochastic scheme to simulate model uncertainties related to physical parameterizations, development of a proper set of verification tools to assess ensemble performance;
  • 1991-1995: Scientist; analysis of perturbation growth in the atmosphere, development and operational implementation of the medium-range ensemble.

1987-1991: Centro Ricerca Termica Nucleare, Ente Nazionale Energia Elettrica (ENEL), Milano (Italy)

  • Scientist: development of a weather prediction system to be used by the National Electricity Board of Italy (ENEL) to optimize energy production, reduce losses due to severe weather, and improve network management, and planning and installation of a greenhouse gases measurement station in the Italian Alps.

EDUCATION

  • 2004: Master in Business Administration (MBA), London Business School. Overall distinction. Final Management Report on "Monte Carlo-based risk assessment".
  • 1997: Doctor of Philosophy (PhD), Department of Mathematics, University of London. PhD thesis in dynamics of the atmosphere, title: "The singular vector approach to the analysis of perturbation growth in the atmosphere".
  • 1986: Laurea in Physics, "Università degli Studi" of Milan (Italy), Magna cum Laude. Research thesis in Plasma Physics, title: "Interazione di un'onda ciclotronica con un plasma termonucleare sostenuto da un'onda elettromagnetica alla frequenza ibrida inferiore".

MEMBERSHIP

Fellow of the UK Royal Meteorological Society, Fellow of the UK Institute of Physics, Chartered Physicists. Member of the American Meteorological Society (AMS), Member of the "Societá Italiana di Fisica". Officer of the European Geophysical Society (EGS): vice-chairman of the EGS Group of Non-linear processes in Geophysics (2001-2005). Associate Editor of Monthly Weather Review, a peer-reviewed journal published by the AMS (2002-2004). Convener and chairman at the EGS General Assembly (1994-2000). Elected member of the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (1998-2000), Reviewer for journals published by the AMS and the Royal Meteorological Society, Tellus, the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC, UK), the US National Science Foundation (NSF). Reviewer of University’s vacancy applications. ISO 9001:2008 Awareness & Internal Quality Auditor.

AWARDS

  • 2017: 'Abilitazione Nazionale a Professore di Prima Fascia (Ordinario), Settore 02/C1: Astronomia, Astrofisica, Fisica della Terra e dei Pianeti, MIUR, 28 marzo 2017 (Concorso ASN 2016, Bando D.D.1532/2016)'
  • 2017: 'Abilitazione Nazionale a Professore di Prima Fascia (Ordinario), Settore 04/A4: Geofisica, MIUR, 4 April 2017 (Concorso ASN 2016, Bando D.D.1532/2016)'
  • 2002: Buchan Prize of the UK Royal Meteorological Society (the prize is awarded to Fellows of the Society whose papers are judged by Council to contain the most important original contributions to meteorology);
  • 2000: election to 'Fellow' of the UK Royal Meteorological Society (RoyMetSoc);
  • 1999: election to 'Fellow' of the UK Institute of Physics (IoP).

PUBLICATIONS

200+ publications, of which 100+ in peer-reviewed publications:

  • Google Scholar: H-Index 54, citations 11197, i10-index 96;
  • Research Gate: H-index 50, citations 9238, score 37.66 (higher than 95% of Research gate members with similar profile);
  • SCOPUS: H-index 42, citations 6267 (co-authors 116);
  • Web of Science (WOS): H-index 42, citations 6009 (avg citations per item 61.32).

TEACHING

Lecturer: ECMWF Training Course on Numerical Weather Prediction; summer schools and training courses at Universities and Research Institutions (e.g. Dept. of Mathematics, University College London; Dept. of Meteorology, University of Reading; Oxford University Dept. of Physics; Dept. of Mathematics of Warwick University; Dept. of Hydrology of the University of Arizona, US; Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne; China Meteorological Administration, Beijing; Imperial College, London); Course in Atmospheric Dynamics, Department of Physics, "Universitá degli studi" of Milano, Italy; graduate and Post-graduate supervisor.

LANGUAGES

Italian; English; French (working knowledge).

HOBBIES

Music, theater, sports (skiing, tennis, squash, volleyball), trekking, reading, travel, wine and oil making in Tuscany, dogs' walking.

 

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Publications in international peer-reviewed journals, plus PhD and MBA final reports:

210 overall publications:

  • 114 articles in peer reviewed journals (including the PhD and the MBA reports):
    • 104 published in peer-reviewed journals:
      • 33 published in the Q. J. of the Roy. Meteorol. Soc. of the UK RMetSoc;
      • 16 published in the Mon. Wea. Rev. of the American Met. Soc., US;
      • 15 published in the J. Atmos. Sci. of the American Met. Soc., US;
      • Lead author in 40 articles;
      • Sole author in 20 articles;
    • 3 submitted or in preparation;
    • PhD thesis in Mathematics;
    • MBA Management Report;
    • 5 contributions to books;
  • 62 ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum;
  • 34 ECMWF Newsletter articles.

 

List of publications in peer-reviewed journals:

  • (114) Capecchi, V., Lang, S., and Buizza, R., 2017: Re-forecasting the “Alluvione di Firenze” of 4 November 1966 with global and regional convection-permitting ensembles. Under preparation..

  • (113) Zhang, F., Sun, Y. Q., Magnusson, L., Buizza, R., Lin, S.-J., Chen, J.-H., and Emanuel, K., 2017: What is the ultimate limit of weather predictability? Science, submitted.

  • (112) Brönnimann, S., Allan, R., Buizza, R., Bulygina, O., Dahlgren, P., Dee, D., Gomes, P.,  Jourdain, S., Haimberger, L., Hersbach, H., Poli, P., Pulliainen, J., Rayner, N., Schulz, J., Sterin, A., Stickler, A., Valente, M. A., Ventura, M. C., and Wilkinson, C., 2017: Observations for reanalysis. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc.. submitted.

  • (111) Buizza, R., Brönnimann, S., Fuentes, M., Haimberger, L., Laloyaux, P., Martin, M., Alonso-Balmaseda, M., Becker, A., Blaschek, M., Dahlgren, P., de Boisseson, E., Dee, D., Xiangbo, F., Haines, K., Jourdain, S., Kosaka, Y., Lea, D., Mayer, M., Messina, P., Perruche, C., Peylin, P., Pullainen, J., Rayner, N., Rustemeier, E., Schepers, D., Schulz, J., Sterin, A., Stichelberger, S., Storto, A., Testut, C.-E., Valente, M.-A., Vidard, A., Vuichard, N., Weaver, A., While, J., and Ziese, M., 2017: The ERA-CLIM2 project. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., submitted.

  • (110) Buizza, R., 2017: Chapter 14: Ensemble generation: the TIGGE and S2S ensembles. Elsevier book on ‘The gap between weather and climate forecasting: sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction', Elsevier; edited by A. W. Robertson and F. Vitart, pp. 62; submitted.

  • (109) Bouttier, F., and Buizza, R., 2017: Prévision d'ensemble à échelle globale et à aire limitée. La Météorologie. In press.

  • (108) Buizza, R., 2017: Chapter 2: Ensemble forecasting and the need for calibration. Elsevier book on ‘Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts’, Elsevier; edited by D. Wilks, S. Vannitsen and J. Messner, pp. 36; accepted.

  • (107) Ruggeri, P., Kurchaski, F., Buizza, R., & Ambaum, M., 2017: The transient response to a reduction of sea-ice cover in the Barents and Kara seas. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 143, 1632-1640.
  • (106) Ruggeri, P, Buizza, R., and Visconti, G., 2016: On the link between Barents-Kara sea-ice variability and European blockings. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 121, 5664–5679.
  • (105) Zagar, N., Buizza, R., Tribbia, J., 2015: A three-dimensional multivariate modal analysis of atmospheric predictability with application to the ECMWF ensemble. J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 4423-4444.
  • (104) Buizza, R., and Leutbecher, M, 2015: The Forecast Skill Horizon. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 141, 3366-3382.
  • (103) Cardinali, C., Zagar, N., Radnoti, G., & Buizza, R., 2014: Representing model error in Ensemble Data Assimilation. Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 21, 971-985.
  • (102) Hagedorn, R., Buizza, R., Hamill, M. T., Leutbecher, M., & Palmer, T. N., 2012: Comparing TIGGE multi-model forecasts with re-forecast calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 138, 1814-1827.
  • (101) Bertotti, L., Bidlot, J., Buizza, R., Cavaleri, L., & Janousek, M., 2011: Deterministic and ensemble-based prediction of Adriatic-Sea sirocco storms leading to 'acqua alta' in Venice. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 1446-1466.
  • (100) Voisin, N., Pappenberger, F., Lettenmaier, D. P., Buizza, R., & Schaake, J. C., 2011: Application of a medium-range global hydrological probabilistic forecast scheme to the Ohio River Basin. Weather & Forecasting, 26 (4), 425-446.
  • (99) Buizza, R., 2011: Reply to Bob Glahn's "Comments on 'The value of a variable resolution approach to numerical weather prediction"'. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2302-2306.
  • (98) Prates, F., & Buizza, R., 2011: Probabilistic forecast products based on generalized extreme-value theory. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 521-537.
  • (97) Bauer, P., Buizza, R., Cardinali, C., Thepaut, J.-N., 2011: Impact of singular vector based satellite data thinning on NWP. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 286-302.
  • (96) Buizza, R., 2010: Horizontal resolution impact on short- and long-range forecast error. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 136, 1020-1035.
  • (95) Buizza, R., 2010: The Value of a Variable Resolution Approach to Numerical Weather Prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 4, 1026-1042.
  • (94) Cavaleri, L., Bertotti, L., Buizza, R., Buzzi, A., Masato, V., Umgiesser, G., & Zampieri, M., 2010: Predictability of extreme meteo-oceaonographic events in the Adriatic Sea. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 136, 400-413.
  • (93) Zsoter, E., Buizza, R., & Richardson, D., 2009: 'Jumpiness' of the ECMWF and UK Met Office EPS control and ensemble-mean forecasts'. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 3823-3836.
  • (92) Taylor, J., McSharry, P. E., & Buizza, R., 2009: Wind power density forecasting using ensemble predictions and time series models. IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion, 24, 775-782.
  • (91) Wu, C.-C., Chen, J.-H., Majumdar, S. J., Peng, M. S., Reynolds, C. A., Aberson, S. D., Buizza, R., Yamaguchi, M., Chen, S.-G., Nakazawa, T., & Chou, K.-H., 2009: Inter-comparison of Targeted Observation Guidance for Tropical Cyclones in the North-western Pacific. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2471-2492.
  • (90) Pappenberger, F., & Buizza, R., 2009: The skill of ECMWF precipitation and temperature predcitions in the Danube basins as forcings of hydrological models. Weather & Forecasting, 24, 749-766.
  • (89) Pappenberger, F., Ghelli, A., Buizza, R., & Bodis, K., 2009: The skill of probabilistic precipitation prediction under observational uncertainties within the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation framework for hydrological applications. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 10, 794-806.
  • (88) Buizza, R., Leutbecher, M., & Isaksen, L., 2008: Potential use of an ensemble of analyses in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 134, 2051-2066.
  • (87) Park, Y.-Y., Buizza, R., & Leutbecher, M., 2008: TIGGE: preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 134, 2029-2050.
  • (86) Vitart, F., Buizza, R., Alonso Balmaseda, M., Balsamo, G., Bidlot, J. R., Bonet, A., Fuentes, M., Hofstadler, A., Molteni, F., & Palmer, T. N., 2008: The new VAREPS-monthly forecasting system: a first step towards seamless prediction. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 134, 1789-1799.
  • (85) Pappenberger, F., Bartholmes, J., Thielen, J., Cloke, H.L., Buizza, R. & de Roo, A., 2008: New dimensions in early flood warning across the globe using grand-ensemble weather predictions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L10404, DOI:10.1029/2008GL33837.
  • (84) Buizza, R., 2008: The value of Probabilistic Prediction. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 9, 36-42 (DOI: 10.1002/asl.170).
  • (83) Thielen, J., Schaake, J., Hartman, R., & Buizza, R., 2008: Aims, Challenges and Progress of the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX) – a summary of the 3rd HEPEX workshop held in Stresa 27-29 th June 2007. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 9, 29-35 (DOI:10.1002/asl.168).
  • (82) Pappenberger, F., Scipal, K., & Buizza, R., 2008: Hydrological aspects of meteorological verifications. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 9, 43-52 (DOI:10.1002/asl.171).
  • (81) Buizza, R., 2008: Comparison of a 51-member low-resolution (TL399L62) ensemble with a 6-member high-resolution (TL799L91) lagged-forecast ensemble. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 3343-3362.
  • (80) Brankovic, C., Matiacic, B., Ivatek-Sahden, S., & Buizza, R., 2008: Dynamical downscaling of ECMWF ensemble forecasts for cases of severe weather: ensemble statistics and cluster analysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 3323-3342.
  • (79) Reynolds, C, Peng, M, Majumdar, S J, Aberson, S D, Bishop, C H, & Buizza, R, 2007: Interpretation of adaptive observing guidance for Atlantic tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 4006-4029.
  • (78) Cardinali, C., Buizza, R., Kelly, G., Shapiro, M., & Thepaut, J.-N., 2007: The value of observations - Part III: influence of weather regimes on targeting. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 133, 1833-1842.
  • (77) Buizza, R., Cardinali, C., Kelly, G., & Thepaut, J.-N., 2007: The value of observations - Part II: the value of observations located in singular vectors-based target areas. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 133, 1817-1832.
  • (76) Kelly, G., Thepaut, J.-N., Buizza, R., & Cardinali, C., 2007: The value of observations - Part I: data denial experiments for the Atlantic and the Pacific. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 133, 1803-1815.
  • (75) Schaake, J. C., Hamill, T. M., Buizza, R., & Clark, M., 2007: HEPEX, the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment. Bull. of the Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 88, 1541-1547.
  • (74) Buizza, R., Bidlot, J.-R., Wedi, N., Fuentes, M., Hamrud, M., Holt, G., & Vitart, F., 2007: The new ECMWF VAREPS (Variable Resolution Ensemble Prediction System). Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 133, 681-695.
  • (73) Malguzzi, P, Grossi, G, Buzzi, A, Ranzi, R, & Buizza, R, 2006: The 1966 'century' flood in Italy: a meteorological-hydrological revisitation. J. Geoph. Res., 111, D24106, 1-15.
  • (72) Majumdar, S J, Aberson, S D, Bishop, C H, Buizza, R, Peng, M, & Reynolds, C, 2006: A comparison of adaptive observing guidance for Atlantic tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 2354-2372.
  • (71) Buizza, R., 2006: The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Published in Predictability of Weather and Climate, Cambridge University Press, 459-489.
  • (70) Schaake, J., Franz, K., Bradley, A., & Buizza, R., 2006: The Hydrological Ensemble Prediction EXperiment (HEPEX). Hydrol. Earth Syst. Discuss., 3, 3321-3332.
  • (69) Taylor, J., & Buizza, R., 2006: Density forecasting for weather derivative pricing. Intern. J. Forecast., 22, 29-42.
  • (68) Buizza, R., Houtekamer, P. L., Toth, Z., Pellerin, G., Wei, M., & Zhu, Y., 2005: A comparison of the ECMWF, MSC and NCEP Global Ensemble Prediction Systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 5, 1076-1097.
  • (67) Franz, K., Ajami, N., Schaake, J., & Buizza, R., 2005: Hydrological ensemble prediction experiment focuses on reliable forecasts. EOS, 86 (25), 239-249.
  • (66) Gouweleeuw, B. T. , Thielen, J., Franchello, G., De Roo, A. P. J., & Buizza, R., 2005: Flood forecasting using medium-range probabilistic weather prediction. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS), 9, 365-380.
  • (65) Bourke, W., Buizza, R., & Naughton, M., 2004: Performance of the ECMWF and the BoM Ensemble Systems in the Southern Hemisphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2338-2357.
  • (64) Chessa, P., Ficca, G., Marrocu, M., & Buizza, R., 2004: Applications of a limited-area short-range ensemble forecast system to a case of heavy rainfall in the Mediterranean region. Weather and Forecasting, 19, 566-581.
  • (63) Buizza, R., 2004: Monte Carlo-based Risk Assessment. Management Report submitted to London Business School for the degree of Master in Business Administration (MBA), May 2004; available from London Business School, Regent's Park, London NW1-4SA, UK.
  • (62) Coutinho, M. M., Hoskins, B. J., & Buizza, R., 2004: The influence of physical processes on extratropical singular vectors. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 195-209.
  • (61) Taylor, J., & Buizza, R., 2004: A comparison of temperature density forecasts from GARCH and atmospheric models. Journal of Forecasting, 23, 337-355.
  • (60) Cardinali, C., & Buizza, R., 2003: Forecast skill of targeted observations: a singular-vector-based diagnostic. J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 1927-1940.
  • (59) Montani, A., Marsigli, C., Nerozzi, F., Paccagnella, T., Tibaldi, S., & Buizza, R., 2003: The Soverato flood in Southern Italy: performance of global and limited-area ensemble forecasts. Non-linear Processes in Geophysics, 10, 261-274.
  • (58) Buizza, R., Richardson, D. S., & Palmer, T. N., 2003: Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man's ensembles. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 129, 1269-1288.
  • (57) Taylor, J., & Buizza, R., 2003: Using Weather Ensemble Prediction in Energy Demand Forecasting. Intern. J. Forecast., 19, 57-70.
  • (56) Buizza, R., 2003: Weather Prediction: Ensemble Prediction. Published in the Encyclopaedia of Atmospheric Sciences, Academic Press, London.
  • (55) Palmer, T. N., Barkmeijer, J., Buizza, R., Klinker, E., and Richardson, D., 2002: L’avenir de la prevision d’ensemble. La Météorologie, 36, 22-30.
  • (54) Majumdar, S., Bishop, C., Buizza, R., & Gelaro, R., 2002: A comparison of PSU-NCEP Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter targeting guidance with ECMWF and NRL Singular Vector guidance. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 128, 2527-2549.
  • (53) Buizza, R., & Chessa, P., 2002: Prediction of the US-storm of 24-26 January 2000 with the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Mon. Wea. Rev. 130, 1531-1551.
  • (52) Taylor, J. W., & Buizza, R., 2002: Neural network load forecasting with weather ensemble prediction. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 17, 626-633.
  • (51) Mullen, S., & Buizza, R., 2002: The Impact of horizontal resolution and ensemble size on probabilistic forecasts of precipitation by the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Weather and Forecasting, 17, 173-191.
  • (50) Buizza, R., & Hollingsworth, A., 2002: Storm prediction over Europe using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Meteorol. Appl., 9, 1-17.
  • (49) Montani, A., Marsigli, C., Nerozzi, F., Paccagnella, T., & Buizza, R., 2001: Performance of the SMR-ARPA limited-area ensemble prediction system: two flood cases. Non-linear Processes in Geophysics, 8, 387-399.
  • (48) Gilmour, I., Smith, L. A., & Buizza, R., 2001: On the duration of the linear regime: is 24 hours a long time in weather forecasting?. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 3525-3539.
  • (47) Molteni, F., Buizza, R., Marsigli, C., Montani, A., Nerozzi, F., & Paccagnella, T., 2001. A strategy for high-resolution ensemble prediction. Part I: definition of representative members and global-model experiments. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 127, 2069-2094.
  • (46) Marsigli, C., Montani, A., Nerozzi, F., Paccagnella, T., Tibaldi, S, Molteni, F., & Buizza, R., 2001. A strategy for high-resolution ensemble prediction. Part II: limited-area experiments in four Alpine flood events. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 127, 2095-2115.
  • (45) Buizza, R., 2001a: Accuracy and economic value of categorical and probabilistic forecasts of discrete events. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2329-2345.
  • (44) Buizza, R, 2001b: Chaos and weather prediction. Il Nuovo Cimento C, 24, 273-302.
  • (43) Mullen, S., & Buizza, R., 2001: Quantitative precipitation forecasts over the United States by the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 638-663.
  • (42) Barkmeijer, J., Buizza, R., Palmer, T. N., Puri, K., & Mahfouf, J.-F., 2001: Tropical singular vectors computed with linearized diabatic physics. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 127, 685-708.
  • (41) Buizza, R., Hollingsworth, A., Lalaurette, F., & Ghelli, A., 2000a: Reply to comments by Wilson and by Juras. Weather and Forecasting, 15, 367-369.
  • (40) Hoskins, B. J., Buizza, R., & Badger, J., 2000: The nature of singular vector growth and structure. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 126, 1565-1580.
  • (39) Mullen, S. L., Poulton, M. M., & Buizza, R., 2000: Calibration of probabilistic, ensemble precipitation forecasts by an artificial neural network. 2nd Conference on Artificial Intelligence, AMS, p 101-102.
  • (38) Buizza, R., Barkmeijer, J., Palmer, T. N., & Richardson, D., 2000b: Current Status and Future Developments of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Meteorol. Appl., 6, 1-14.
  • (37) Montani, A., Thorpe, A. J., Buizza, R., & Unden, P., 1999: Forecast skill of the ECMWF model using targeted observations during FASTEX. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 125, 3219-3240.
  • (36) Buizza, R., Miller, M., & Palmer, T. N., 1999a: Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 125, 2887-2908.
  • (35) Harrison, M. S. J., Palmer, T. N., Richardson, D. S., & Buizza, R., 1999: Analysis and model dependencies in medium-range ensembles: two transplant case studies. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 126, 2487-2515.
  • (34) Barkmeijer, J., Buizza, R., & Palmer, T. N., 1999: 3D-Var Hessian singular vectors and their potential use in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 125, 2333-2351.
  • (33) Molteni, F., & Buizza, R., 1999: Validation of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System using empirical orthogonal functions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 2346-2358.
  • (32) Buizza, R., & Montani, A., 1999: Targeting observations using singular vectors. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 2965-2985.
  • (31) Buizza, R., Hollingsworth, A., Lalaurette, F., & Ghelli, A., 1999b: Probabilistic predictions of precipitation using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Weather and Forecasting, 14, 2, 168-189.
  • (30) Buizza, R., 1999: Reply to "Comments on 'Impact of horizontal diffusion on T21, T42 and T63 singular vectors' by P L Houtekamer". J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 6, 903.
  • (29) Buizza, R., & Palmer, T. N., 1998: Impact of ensemble size on ensemble prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 9, 2503-2518.
  • (28) Buizza, R., Petroliagis, T., Palmer, T. N., Barkmeijer, J., Hamrud, M., Hollingsworth, A., Simmons, A., & Wedi, N., 1998: Impact of model resolution and ensemble size on the performance of an ensemble prediction system. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 24, 550, 1935-1960.
  • (27) Palmer, T. N., Gelaro, R., Barkmeijer, J., & Buizza, R., 1998: Singular vectors, metrics, and adaptive observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 6, 633-653.
  • (26) Gelaro, R., Buizza, R., Palmer, T. N., & Klinker, E., 1998: Sensitivity analysis of forecast errors and the construction of optimal perturbations using singular vectors. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 6, 1012-1037.
  • (25) Buizza, R., 1998: Impact of horizontal diffusion on T21, T42 and T63 singular vectors. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 6, 1069-1083.
  • (24) Palmer, T. N., Barkmeijer, J., Buizza, R., & Petroliagis, T., 1997: The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Meteorol. Appl., 4, 301-304.
  • (23) Petroliagis, T., Buizza, R., Lanzinger, A., & Palmer, T. N., 1997: Potential use of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System in cases of extreme weather events. Meteorol. Appl., 4, 69-84.
  • (22) Buizza, R., Gelaro, R., Molteni, F., & Palmer, T. N., 1997: The impact of increased resolution on predictability studies with singular vectors. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 123, 1007-1033.
  • (21) Buizza, R., 1997a: The singular vector approach to the analysis of perturbation growth in the atmosphere. Thesis submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy (PhD) of the University of London, March 1997; available from the Department of Mathematics, U.C.L., Gower Street, London WC1E-6BT, UK.
  • (20) Buizza, R., 1997b: Potential forecast skill of ensemble prediction, and spread and skill distributions of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 1, 99-119.
  • (19) Petroliagis, T., Buizza, R., Lanzinger, A., & Palmer, T. N., 1996: Extreme rainfall prediction using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. J. Geoph. Res., 101, D21, 26,227-26,236.
  • (18) Hartmann, D. L., Palmer, T. N., & Buizza, R., 1996: Finite-time instabilities of lower-stratospheric flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 15, 2129-2143.
  • (17) Buizza, R., & Molteni, F., 1996: On the role of finite-time barotropic instability during transition to blocking. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 12, 1675-1697.
  • (16) Molteni, F., Buizza, R., Palmer, T. N., & Petroliagis, T., 1996: The new ECMWF ensemble prediction system: methodology and validation. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 122, 73-119.
  • (15) Montani, A., Buizza, R., Thorpe, A. J., 1996: Singular vector calculations for cases of cyclogenesis in the north Atlantic stormtrack. AMS 7th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, pg. 391-392.
  • (14) Hartmann, D. L., Buizza, R., & Palmer, T. N., 1995: Singular vectors: the effect of spatial scale on linear growth of disturbances. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 3885-3894.
  • (13) Buizza, R., 1995a: Optimal perturbation time evolution and sensitivity of ensemble prediction to perturbation amplitude. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 121, 1705-1738.
  • (12) Buizza, R., 1995b: The impact of orographic forcing on barotropic unstable singular vectors. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 9, 1457-1472.
  • (11) Buizza, R., & Palmer, T. N., 1995: The singular-vector structure of the atmospheric general circulation. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 9, 1434-1456.
  • (10) Gelaro, R., Buizza, R., Klinker, E., Molteni, F., Palmer, T. N., 1995: Sensitivity analysis and singular vector instabilities in a primitive equation model. AMS 10th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Waves and Stability, pg. 239-240.

  • (9) Buizza, R (Buizza, R); Molteni, F (Molteni, F); Palmer, TN (Palmer, TN); Petroliagis, T (Petroliagis, T), 1995: Non-modal finite-time instabilities in a primitive equation model. AMS 10th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Waves and Stability, pg. 260-261.

  • (8) Palmer, T. N., Buizza, R., Molteni, F., Chen, Y.-Q., & Corti, S., 1994: Singular vectors and the predictability of weather and climate. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A, 348, 459-475.
  • (7) Buizza, R., 1994a: Localization of optimal perturbations using a projection operator. Q. J. R. Meteor. Soc., 120, 1647-1682.
  • (6) Buizza, R., 1994b: Sensitivity of Optimal Unstable Structures. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 120, 429-451.
  • (5) Buizza, R., & Pelosini, R., 1994: Rainfall prediction with a limited area model during an intense storm over northern Italy. Il Nuovo Cimento, 17C, 5, 665-681.
  • (4) Palmer, T. N., Buizza, R., Molteni, F., Chen, Y.-Q., & Corti, S., 1994: Singular vectors and the predictability of weather and climate. Published in Chaos and Forecasting, Proceedings of the Royal Society, Editor H. Tong, World Scientific, pp 249-270 (ISBN 981-02-2126-6).
  • (3) Buizza, R., Tribbia, J., Molteni, F., & Palmer, T. N., 1993: Computation of optimal unstable structures for a numerical weather prediction model. Tellus, 45A, 388-407.
  • (2) Paccagnella, T., Tibaldi, S., Buizza, R., & Scoccianti, S., 1992: High-resolution numerical modeling of convective precipitation over northern Italy. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 50, 143-163.
  • (1) Morselli, M. G., Buizza, R., Finardi, S., & Brusasca, G., 1992: ICARO: a package for wind field studies over complex terrain. Environmental Software, 7, 241-254.

 

List of ECMWF Research Department Technical memorandum (http://www.ecmwf.int/en/research/publications):

  • (62) Buizza, R., Anderson, E., Forbes, R., and Sleigh, M., 2017: The ECMWF Research to Operations (R2O) process. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 806 ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 16.
  • (61) Ruggeri, P, Buizza, R., & Visconti, G., 2016: On the link between Barents-Kara sea-ice variability and European blocking. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 788 ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 29.
  • (60) Zagar, N., Buizza, R., & Tribbia, J., 2015: A three-dimensional multivariate modal analysis of atmospheric predictability with application to the ECMWF ensemble. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 771 ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 33.
  • (59) Buizza, R., & Leutbecher, M., 2015: The Forecast Skill Horizon. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 754, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 42.
  • (58) Buizza, R., 2014: The TIGGE medium-range, global ensembles. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 739, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 53.
  • (57) Vitart, F., G. Balsamo, R. Buizza, L. Ferranti, S. Keeley, L. Magnusson, F. Moltenit & A. Weisheimer, 2014: Sub-seasonal predictions. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 738, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 47.
  • (56) Cardinali, C., N. Žagar , G. Radnoti, and Buizza, R., 2014: Representing model error in ensemble data assimilatio. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 726, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 27.
  • (55) Hagedorn, R., R. Buizza, T. M. Hamill, M. Leutbecher & T.N. Palmer, 2012:Comparing TIGGE multi-model forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 663, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 27.
  • (54) Molteni, F., T. Stockdale, M. Balmaseda, G. Balsamo, R. Buizza, L. Ferranti, L. Magnusson, K. Mogensen, T. Palmer & F. Vitart, 2011: The new ECMWF seasonal forecast system (System 4). ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 656, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 51.
  • (53) Rodwell, M.J. , T.Jung, P. Bechtold, P. Berrisford, N. Bormann, C. Cardinali, L. Ferranti, T. Hewson, F. Molteni, N. Wedi, M.A. Balmaseda, G. Balsamo, M. Bonavita, R. Buizza, M. Dahoui, A. Garcia-Mendez ,M. Leutbecher, P. Lopez, Y. Trémolet & F. Vitart, 2010:
    Developments in diagnostics research. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 637, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 49.
  • (52) Isaksen, L., Bonavita, M., Buizza, R., Fisher, M., Haseler, J., Leutbecher, & Raynaud, L., 2010: Ensemble Data Assimilations at ECMWF. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 636, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 45.
  • (51) Buizza, R., 2010: Horizontal resolution impact on short- and long-range forecast error. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 626, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 18.
  • (50) Buizza, R., 2010: Impact of truncation on variable resolution forecasts. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 614, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 28.
  • (49) Buizza, R., 2009: The value of a variable resolution approach to numerical weather prediction. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 605, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 24.
  • (48) Palmer, T. N., Buizza, R., Doblas-Reyes, F., Jung, T., Leutbecher, M., Shutts, G. J., Steinheimer M., & Weisheimer, A., 2009: Stochastic parametrization and model uncertainty. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 598, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 42.
  • (47) Wu, C.-C., Chen, J.-H., Majumdar, S. J., Peng, M. S., Reynolds, C. A., Aberson, S. D., Buizza, R., Yamaguchi, M., Chen, S.-G., Nakazawa, T., & Chou, K.-H., 2009: Inter-comparison of targeted observation guiidance for tropical cyclones in the north western Pacific. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 582, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 29.
  • (46) Buizza, R., 2008: Comparison of a 51-member low-resolution (TL399L62) ensemble with a 6-member high-resolution (TL799L91) lagged-forecast ensemble. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 559, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 25.
  • (45) Pappenberger, F., & Buizza, R., 2008: The skill of ECMWF precipitation and temperature predictions in the Danube basin as forcings of hydrological models. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 558, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 21.
  • (44) Taylor, J., McSharry, P. E., & Buizza, R., 2008: Wind power density forecasting using ensemble predictions and time series models. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 553, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 15.
  • (43) Park, Y.-Y., Buizza, R., & Leutbecher, M., 2008: TIGGE: preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 548, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 43.
  • (42) Palmer, T N, Buizza, R., Leutbecher, M., Hagedorn, R., Jung, T., Rodwell, M, Virat, F., Berner, J., Hagel, E., Lawrence, A., Pappenberger, F., Park, Y.-Y., van Bremen, L., Gilmour, I., & Smith, L., 2007: The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: recent and on-going developments. A paper presented at the 36th Session of the ECMWF Scientific Advisory Committee. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 540, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 53.
  • (41) Buizza, R., Asensio, H., Balint, G., Bartholmes, J., Bliefernicht, J., Bogner, K., Chavaux, F., de Roo, A., Donnadille, J., Ducrocq, V., Edlund, C., Kotroni, V., Krahe, P., Kunz, M., Lacire, K., Lelay, M., Marsigli, C., Milelli, M., Montani, A., Pappenberger, F., Rabufetti, D., Ramos, M.-H., Ritter, B., Schipper, J. W., Steiner, P., Thielen-Del Pozzo, J., and Vincendon, B., 2007: EURORISK/PREVIEW report on the technical quality, functional quality and forecast value of meteorological and hydrological forecasts. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 516, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 21.
  • (40) Cardinali, C., Buizza, R., Kelly, G., Shapiro, M., & Thepaut, J.-N., 2007: The value of targeted observations - Part III: influence of different weather regimes. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 513, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 13.
  • (39) Buizza, R., Cardinali, C., Kelly, G., & Thepaut, J.-N., 2007: The value of targeted observations - Part II: the value of observations taken in singular vectors based target areas. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 512, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 33.
  • (38) Kelly, G., Thepaut, J.-N., Buizza, R., & Cardinali, C., 2007: The value of targeted observations - Part I: data denial experiments for the Atlantic and the Pacific. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 511, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 27.
  • (37) Brancovic, C., Matiacic, B., Ivatek-Sahden, S., and Buizza, R., 2007: Dynamical downscaling of ECMWF EPS forecasts applied to cases of severe weather in Croatia. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 507, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 38.
  • (36) Richardson, D., Bidlot, J., Buizza, R., Ferranti, L., Ghelli, A., van der Grijn, G., Vitart, F., & Zsoter, E., 2006: Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2005-2006. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 504, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 42.
  • (35) Malguzzi, P, Grossi, G, Buzzi, A, Ranzi, R, & Buizza, R, 2006: The 1966 'century' flood in Italy: a meteorological-hydrological revisitation. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 500, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 21.
  • (34) Buizza, R., J-R. Bidlot, N. Wedi, M. Fuentes, M. Hamrud, G. Holt, T. Palmer and F. Vitart, 2006: The new ECMWF Variable Resolution Ensemble Prediction System (VAREPS): methodology and validation. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 499, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 32.
  • (33) Majumdar, S. J., Aberson, S. D., Bishop, C. H., Buizza, R., Peng, M. S. & Reynolds, C. A., 2005: A comparison of adaptive observing guidance for Atlantic tropical cyclones. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 482, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 24.
  • (32) Bourke, W, Buizza, R., & Naughton, M, 2004: Performance of the ECMWF and BoM ensemble systems in the Southern Hemisphere. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 440, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 30.
  • (31) Cardinali, C., & Buizza, R., 2003: Forecast skill of targeted observations: a singular vector based diagnostic. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 400, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 18.
  • (30) Coutinho, M. M., Hoskins, B. J., & Buizza, R., 2003: The influence of physical processes on extratropical singular vectors. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 398, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 19.
  • (29) Taylor, J. W., & Buizza, R., 2003: A comparison of temperature density forecasts from GARCH and atmospheric models. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 394, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 20.
  • (28) Buizza, R., Richardson, D. S., & Palmer, T. N., 2003: Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man's ensembles. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 389, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 20.
  • (27) Majumdar, S., Bishop, C., Buizza, R., & Gelaro, R., 2002: A comparison of ETKF targeting guidance with ECMWF and NRL TE-SVs targeting guidance. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 368, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 23.
  • (26) Buizza, R., & Hollingsworth, A., 2002: Storm prediction over Europe using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 356, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK. pp. 26.
  • (25) Buizza, R., & Chessa, P., 2002: Prediction of the US-storm of 24-26 January 2000 with the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 355, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 38.
  • (24) Palmer, T. N., Barkmeijer, J., Buizza, R., Jakob, C., Lalaurette, F., Paccagnella, T., & Richardson, D., 2001: Severe Weather Prediction. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 352, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 59.
  • (23) Marsigli C., Montani, A., Nerozzi, F., & Paccagnella, T., Tibaldi, S, Molteni, F., Buizza, R., 2001. A strategy for high-resolution ensemble prediction. Part II: limited-area experiments in four Alpine flood events. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 338, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 22.
  • (22) Molteni F., Buizza, R., Marsigli, C., Montani, A., Nerozzi, F., & Paccagnella, T., 2001. A strategy for high-resolution ensemble prediction. Part I: definition of representative members and global-model experiments. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 337, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 29.
  • (21) Gilmour, I., Smith, L. A., & Buizza, R., 2001: On the duration of the linear regime: is 24 hours a long time in weather forecasting? ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 328, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 20.
  • (20) Palmer, T. N., Brankovic, C., Buizza, R., Chessa, P., Ferranti, L., Hoskins, B. J., & Simmons, A. J., 2000: A review of predictability and ECMWF forecast performance, with emphasis on Europe. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 326, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 46.
  • (19) Buizza, R., 2000: Forecasting system performance in summer 1999: Part 3 – EPS. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 323, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 29.
  • (18) Taylor, J. W., & Buizza, R., 2000: Using weather ensemble predictions in electricity demand forecasting. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 312, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 23.
  • (17) Mullen, S., & Buizza, R., 2000: Quantitative precipitation forecasts over the United States by the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 307, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 50.
  • (16) Barkmeijer, J., Buizza, R., Palmer, T. N., Puri, K., & Mahfouf, J.-F., 1999: Tropical singular vectors computed with linearized diabatic physics. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 297, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 29.
  • (15) Buizza, R., & Montani, A., 1999: Targeting observations using singular vectors. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 286, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 39.
  • (14) Buizza, R., Barkmeijer, J., Palmer, T. N., & Richardson, D., 1999: Current Status and Future Developments of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 280, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 28.
  • (13) Buizza, R., Miller, M., & Palmer, T. N., 1999: Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 279, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 26.
  • (12) Buizza, R., & Hollingsworth, A., 1998: Probability precipitation prediction using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 248, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 30.
  • (11) Buizza, R., & Palmer, T. N., 1998: Impact of ensemble size on the skill and the potential skill of an ensemble prediction system. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 246, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 32.
  • (10) Buizza, R., Petroliagis, T., Palmer, T. N., Barkmeijer, J., Hamrud, M., Hollingsworth, A., Simmons, A., & Wedi, N, 1998: Impact of model resolution and ensemble size on the performance of an ensemble prediction system. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 245, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 31.
  • (9) Petroliagis, T., Buizza, R., Lanzinger, A., & Palmer, T. N., 1996: Extreme rainfall prediction using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 227, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 43.
  • (8) Buizza, R., Gelaro, R., Molteni, F., & Palmer, T. N., 1995: Predictability studies with high-resolution singular vectors. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 219, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 38.
  • (7) Buizza, R., & Palmer, T. N., 1995: The singular-vector structure of the atmospheric general circulation. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 208, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 47.
  • (6) Buizza, R., 1994: Linearity of optimal perturbation time evolution and sensitivity of ensemble forecasts to perturbation amplitude. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 205, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 42.
  • (5) Molteni, F., Buizza, R., Palmer, T. N., & Petroliagis, T., 1994: The ECMWF ensemble prediction system: methodology and validation. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 202, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 55.
  • (4) Buizza, R., 1993. Computation of optimal perturbations using a local projection operator: a winter case study. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 196, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 35.
  • (3) Buizza, R., 1993: Impact of a simple vertical diffusion scheme and of the optimisation time interval on optimal unstable structures. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 192, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 25.
  • (2) Buizza, R., 1992: Unstable perturbations computed using the adjoint technique. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 189, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 17.
  • (1) Palmer, T. N., Molteni, F., Mureau, R., Buizza, R., Chapelet, P., & Tribbia, J., 1992: Ensemble prediction. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 188, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 43.

 

List of publications in the ECMWF Newsletter (http://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/news-centre/media-resources):

  • (34) Buizza, R., and Richardson, D., 2017: 25 years of ensemble forecasting at ECMWF. ECMWF Newsletter n. 153, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, in press.
  • (33) Sleigh, M., Buizza, R., Burton, P., Forbes, R., Varela Santoall, D., Wilhelmsson, T., 2017: New IFS version control and issue tracking tools. ECMWF Newsletter n. 152, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 17.
  • (32) Buizza, R., Bechtold, P., Bonavita, M., Bormann, N., Bozzo, A., Haiden, T., Hogan, R., Holm, E., Radnoti, G., Richardson, D., and Sleigh., M., 2017: IFS Cycle 43r3 brings model and assimilation updates. ECMWF Newsletter n. 152, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg. 18-22.
  • (31) Buizza, R., J.-R. Bidlot, Janousek, M., Keeley, S., Mogensen, K., and Richardson, D., 2017: New IFS cycle brings sea-ice coupling and higher ocean resolution. ECMWF Newsletter n. 150, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 14-17.
  • (30) Capecchi, V., Lang, S., & Buizza, R., 2016: ‘L’alluvione di Firenze del 1966’: an ensemble-based, re-forecasting study. ECMWF Newsletter n. 148, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 31-36.

  • (29) Buizza, R., Leutbecher, M., and Thorpe, A., 2015: Leaving with the butterfly effect: a seamless view of predictability. ECMWF Newsletter n. 145, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 18-23.

  • (28) Magnusson, L., Thorpe, A., Buizza, R., Rabier, F., and Nicolau, J., 2015: Predicting this year’s European heat wave. ECMWF Newsletter n. 145, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 4-5.

  • (27) Buizza, R., & Weisheimer, A., 2015: Stochastic workshop explores simulation of forecast model uncertainty. ECMWF Newsletter n. 143, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 12.

  • (26) Wetterhall, F., Pappenberger, F., & Buizza, R., 2014: 10th Anniversary of HEPEX. ECMWF Newsletter n. 140, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 6.

  • (25) Vitart, F., Molteni, F., & Buizza, R., 2014: Have ECMWF monthly forecasts being improving? ECMWF Newsletter n. 138, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 18-23.

  • (24) Barkmaijer, J, Buizza, R., Kallen, E, Molteni, F, Mureau, R, Palmer, T N, Tibaldi, S, & Tribbia, 2012: 20 years of ensemble prediction at ECMWF. Newsletter n. 134, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 16-30.

  • (23) Pappenberger, F, Thielen, J, de Roo, A, Buizza, R, Krzeminski, B, Hofstadler, A, Wetterhall, F, Salamon, P, & Brady, A., 2012: The European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) at ECMWF: towards operational implementation. Newsletter n. 131, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 25-30.

  • (22) Miller, M., Buizza, R., Haseler, J., Hortal, M., Janssen, P., Untch, A., 2010: Increased resolution in the ECMWF deterministic and ensemble prediction systems. Newsletter n. 124, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 10-16.

  • (21) Buizza, R., Leutbecher, M., Isaksen, L., & Haseler, J., 2010: Combined use of EDA- and SV-based perturbations in the EPS. Newsletter n. 123, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 22-28.

  • (20) Isaksen, L., Haseler, J., Buizza, R., & Leutbecher, M., 2010: The new Ensemble of Data Assimilation. Newsletter n. 123, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 17-21.

  • (19) Cloke, H., Thielen, J., Pappenberger, F., Nobert, S., Bálint, G., Edlund, C., Koistinen, A., de Saint-Aubin, C., Sprokkereef, E., Viel, C., Salamon, P., & Buizza, R., 2009: Progress in the implementation of Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems (HEPS) in Europe for operational flood forecasting. Newsletter n. 121, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 21-25.

  • (18) Buizza, R., Pappenberger, F., Thielen, J., Salomon, P., & de Roo, A., 2009: EPS/EFAS probabilistic flood prediction over Northern Italy: the case of the 30th of April 2009. Newsletter n. 120, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 10-16.

  • (17) Buizza, R., Park, Y.-Y., Leutbecher, M., & Pappenberger, F., 2008: Predictability studies using TIGGE data. Newsletter n. 116, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 16-20.

  • (16) Vitart, F., Bonet, A., Balmaseda, M., Balsamo, G., Bidlot, J.-F., Buizza, R., Fuentes, M., Hofstadler, A., Molteni, F., & Palmer , T. N., 2008: Merging VAREPS with the monthly forecasting system: a first step towards seamless prediction. Newsletter n. 115, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 35-44.

  • (15) Buizza, R., Hagedorn, R., Molteni, F., & Palmer, T., N., 2008: Ensemble Prediction Workshop, 7-9 November 2007, ECMWF. Newsletter n. 114, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 5-6.

  • (14) Palmer, T., & Buizza, R., 2008 : Fifteenth anniversary of EPS. ECMWF. Newsletter n. 114, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 14.

  • (13) Buizza, R., Cardinali, C., Kelly, G., & Thepaut, J.-N., 2007: The value of targeted observations. Newsletter n. 111, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 11-20.

  • (12) Untch, A., Miller, M., Hortal, M., Buizza, R., and Janssen P., 2006: Towards a global meso-scale model: the high-resolution system TL799L91 & TL399L62 EPS. Newsletter n. 108, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 6-13.

  • (11) Buizza, R., Bidlot, J.-R., Wedi, N., Fuentes, M., Hamrud, M., Holt, G., Palmer, T., & Vitart, F., 2006: The ECMWF Variable Resolution Ensemble Prediction System (VAREPS). Newsletter n. 108, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 14-20.

  • (10) Palmer, T., Buizza, R., Hagedorn, R., Lawrence, A., Leutbecher, M., & Smith, L., 2006: Ensemble prediction: a pedagogical perspective. Newsletter n. 106, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 10-17.

  • (9) Buizza, R., 2005: EPS skill improvements between 1994 and 2005. ECMWF Newsletter n. 104, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 10-14.

  • (8) Buizza, R., 2002: Trends in ensemble performance. ECMWF Newsletter n. 94, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 2-5.

  • (7) Buizza, R., 2001: Weather risk management with the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Newsletter n. 92, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 7-12.

  • (6) Buizza, R., Richardson, D., & Palmer, T. N., 2001: The new 80-km high-resolution ECMWF EPS. ECMWF Newsletter n. 90, 2-9, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK.

  • (5) Buizza, R., & Hollingsworth, A., 2001: Severe weather prediction using the ECMWF EPS: the European storms of December 1999. ECMWF Newsletter n. 89, 2-12, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK.

  • (4) Palmer, T. N., Barkmeijer, J., Buizza, R., & Klinker, E., 2000: The future of ensemble prediction. ECMWF Newsletter n. 88, 2-8, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK.

  • (3) Jakob, C., Andersson, E., Beljaars, A., Buizza, R., Fisher, M., Gerard, E., Ghelli, A., Janssen, P., Kelly, G., McNally, A. P., Miller, M., Simmons, A., Teixeira, J., & Viterbo, P., 2000: The IFS cycle CY21r4 made operational in October 1999. ECMWF Newsletter n. 87, 2-9, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK.

  • (2) Petroliagis, T., Buizza, R., Lanzinger, A., & Palmer, T. N., 1996: Extreme rainfall prediction using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Newsletter n. 73, 17-24, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK.

  • (1) Mahfouf, J.-F., & Buizza, R., 1996: On the inclusion of physical processes in linear forward and adjoint models. I: impact of large-scale condensation on singular vectors. ECMWF Newsletter n. 72, 2-6, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, 26pp.


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